[APG Public List] SourceCitation better link version 2
persisto at live.com
Thu Jun 10 10:36:55 MDT 2010
Ahh, but Larry. Statistical analysis is wonderful, but just why did Lancaster County, Virginia (where I happen to live) have a 20% voter turnout in Tuesday's primary? The rest of the counties both within this congressional district and others which had much more spirited races (and I've checked every county) had a 5% turnout (give or take). Citing my sources for this information is quite another matter. I personally don't see the need for a discussion group to explain it all for me. The basic data is to be found at the Virginia State Board of Elections. Granted, perhaps the VBE has their data screwed up. If I were publishing an article, I would verify the results county by county. But, I'm not writing an article.
And while the turnout in Lancaster County was five times higher than average/mean/mode/median, the votes fell the same way as the rest of the district (comprising about 20 counties and several Independent Cities), stretching from Williamsburg to the suburbs of DC. So, the sample is not polluted or skewed in any way.
The only thing I can figure out is that Lancaster is one of the few (maybe the only) counties that routinely purges its voter rolls. Thus, this tells us that in all the other jurisdictions that only reported a 5% turnout are not purging their rolls, making them rife for mischeif this fall. (Which leads me to the cynical conclusion that this is the reason they are not purged in the first place. We'd hate to remove all those weeds in vacant lots, dead people, cats and dogs from the "every vote counts" rolls, wouldn't we?)
On Jun 10, 2010, at 12:19 PM, LBoswell wrote:
> ahh, but Craig, you're talking to someone who thinks Statistical Analysis is one the most stimulating subjects in the world, Yes, ready to scour the depths of source citations like they've never been scoured before!
> If I can get a link up that works. Apparently my link gets this added to the front for some reason: x-usc
> removing that should take care of it, but here's the link again in plain text.
> It's probably better if you type that address into your browser rather than just click on it.
> but anyone who has problems, let me know and I'll send out a direct invite
> Craig, Craig! Wake up, you nodded off reading this! I know it's minutia and picky, but so is Stats!
> Larry Boswell BA, PLCGS
> "Experts in Historical & Genealogical Research"
> Listowner, TheoryGen (a non-archived list)
> Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
> laboswell at rogers.com
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